Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.