NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park
Larne

Portadown
0 - 5
Larne

FT(HT: 0-2)
Millar (32'), Doherty (40', 52'), Bonis (50'), Bolger (53')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLarne
8.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)16.42% (-0.111 -0.11)74.96% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.38% (0.394 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (0.514 0.51)43.74% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (0.503 0.5)66.12% (-0.509 -0.51)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.1% (0.355 0.35)52.89% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.41% (0.224 0.22)86.58% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (0.155 0.16)10.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.92% (0.361 0.36)33.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 8.62%
    Larne 74.94%
    Draw 16.42%
PortadownDrawLarne
1-0 @ 3.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.47% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 8.62%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.84% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.42%
0-2 @ 14.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 12.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 6.19% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.062 0.06)
0-5 @ 2.85% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.042 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.81% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 74.94%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portadown
0-1
Larne
O'Neill (29')
Donnelly (59')
Jan 29, 2022 5.30pm
Larne
4-0
Portadown
Bonis (24', 62'), Balmer (58'), Nasseri (72')

Ruddy (79')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Portadown
2-2
Larne
Salley (9', 71')
Tipton (44'), Barr (90+2')
Hale (21' pen.), McDaid (89')
(53'), (63')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Portadown
2-3
Larne
Croskery (66'), Hall (90+3')
Bonis (61'), McLeod (83')
Jarvis (8'), Randall (28'), Lynch (90+2')
(84')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Portadown
2-1
Larne
Teggart (28'), Bonis (90+2')
Robinson (62')
Hale (90+2'), McDaid (90+2')