NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
4 - 0
Portadown

Lecky (20', 47' pen.), Snelgrove (31'), Winchester (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Glenavon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 1-3 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 79.65%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 6.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.22%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawPortadown
79.65% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.38%6.97%
Both teams to score 45.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.18%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.46%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)85.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 79.64%
    Portadown 6.97%
    Draw 13.38%
CrusadersDrawPortadown
2-0 @ 12.62%
3-0 @ 11.22%
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.49%
4-1 @ 5.03%
5-0 @ 3.99%
5-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.53%
6-0 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69%
6-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 79.64%
1-1 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 3.55%
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 13.38%
0-1 @ 2.38%
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 6.97%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Portadown
Lowry (64'), McMurray (86')
McMurray (88'), (90+4')
Robinson (31')
Jenkins (32' pen.)
De Dieu Tantale (58'), Jenkins (70'), (90+4')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Portadown
0-1
Crusaders
Kennedy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-0
Portadown
Heatley (21'), Lowry (84')
(90+4')

Salley (30'), Bonis (76')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Crusaders
4-0
Portadown
Heatley (32'), McMurray (56'), Joe Burns (61'), Kennedy (66')
(58')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Portadown
1-2
Crusaders
Salley (63')
Wilson (79'), Owens (80')