Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
33.11% ( 0)	26.21% ( 0)	40.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.51% (

-0.01)

51.49% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

-0.01)

73.29% (

0.01)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

-0)

29.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0)

65.32% (

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0.01)

24.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4% (

-0.01)

59.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 33.11%

Linfield 40.67%

Draw 26.2%

Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.11%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.67%