Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.