NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 4
Linfield


Henderson (7'), Graham (34'), (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cooper (39'), Millar (45'), Shields (59' pen.), McDaid (62')
Clarke (12')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Linfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
28.52% (-0.425 -0.43)24.83% (-0.381 -0.38)46.66% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.962 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (1.391 1.39)47.52% (-1.39 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (1.275 1.28)69.72% (-1.275 -1.27)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.40599999999999 0.41)30.5% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (0.481 0.48)66.71% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.925 0.92)20.42% (-0.924 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (1.447 1.45)52.86% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 28.52%
    Linfield 46.66%
    Draw 24.82%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.127 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.66%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

Graham (72')
McCullough (35' og.), Shields (73' pen.)
Mulgrew (67')
Manzinga (39')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (15')
Mulgrew (81')

Rodgers (24')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (77')
Newberry (29'), Palmer (85')

Redman (19'), Wilson (35'), Kane (54')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Linfield
2-1
Ballymena
Haughey (16'), Lavery (65')
M (54')
McCartan (30')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-1
Linfield
Keeley (67', 90+3')
Waterworth (75' pen.)
Cooper (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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