NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Linfield

Mitchell (14'), McGuckin (64')
(30'), Cushley (41'), Mitchell (56'), Cherry (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Devine (53')
Roscoe (39'), Vertainen (42'), Cooper (69'), (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Carrick 2-4 Coleraine
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 RFS (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
25.29% (-3.311 -3.31)24.27% (-1.075 -1.08)50.44% (4.386 4.39)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.726 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (2.232 2.23)47.42% (-2.233 -2.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (2.034 2.03)69.64% (-2.034 -2.03)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (-1.415 -1.42)32.96% (1.414 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-1.599 -1.6)69.54% (1.597 1.6)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (2.739 2.74)18.82% (-2.739 -2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (4.384 4.38)50.26% (-4.386 -4.39)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 25.29%
    Linfield 50.44%
    Draw 24.27%
Carrick RangersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.962 -0.96)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.705 -0.71)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.327 -0.33)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.29%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 8.65% (0.646 0.65)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.622 0.62)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.722 0.72)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.242 0.24)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.42 0.42)
0-4 @ 2.01% (0.441 0.44)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 50.44%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
Gibson (69')
Glendinning (28'), Cushley (51'), (73')
Scully (3' og.), McKee (36')
(62'), (84'), (90+2')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Shields (80' pen.), Millar (90')

Cherry (79'), Glendinning (82')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Linfield
4-0
Carrick
Manzinga (26', 34'), Roscoe (29'), Donnelly (37')
(30')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Linfield
7-0
Carrick
Lavery (14', 20' pen., 54'), Millar (28'), Newberry (32'), Palmer (73'), Stewart (74')
Cooper (90+3')

Ramsey (90+2')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Linfield
Kelly (84')
Ramsey (60')
Lavery (2')
Cooper (54')