NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Newry City AFC

Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
    Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
    Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

    Newry City AFC

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Dungannon
      Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

      Result
      Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
      29.4% (-1.685 -1.69)25.15% (-0.981 -0.98)45.45% (2.661 2.66)
      Both teams to score 54.83% (2.288 2.29)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      51.59% (3.372 3.37)48.41% (-3.375 -3.38)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      29.45% (3 3)70.55% (-3.004 -3)
      Carrick Rangers Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      69.68% (0.533 0.53)30.32% (-0.538 -0.54)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      33.5% (0.634 0.63)66.5% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
      Newry City AFC Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      78.68% (2.695 2.7)21.32% (-2.7 -2.7)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      45.73% (4.005 4.01)54.27% (-4.009 -4.01)
      Score Analysis
          Carrick Rangers 29.4%
          Newry City AFC 45.45%
          Draw 25.15%
      Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
      1-0 @ 7.71% (-1 -1)
      2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.194 -0.19)
      2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.521 -0.52)
      3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
      3-2 @ 2.19% (0.144 0.14)
      3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
      Other @ 3.12%
      Total : 29.4%
      		1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.5 -0.5)
      0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.947 -0.95)
      2-2 @ 5.5% (0.286 0.29)
      3-3 @ 1.13% (0.156 0.16)
      Other @ 0.14%
      Total : 25.15%
      		0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.581 -0.58)
      1-2 @ 9.21% (0.349 0.35)
      0-2 @ 7.72% (0.181 0.18)
      1-3 @ 4.75% (0.532 0.53)
      0-3 @ 3.98% (0.393 0.39)
      2-3 @ 2.83% (0.355 0.36)
      1-4 @ 1.83% (0.331 0.33)
      0-4 @ 1.54% (0.259 0.26)
      2-4 @ 1.1% (0.211 0.21)
      Other @ 2.5%
      Total : 45.45%

      rhs 2.0


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