NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 4
Coleraine

Cushley (45+1' pen.)
(44'), (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Shevlin (18', 40', 54'), Glackin (87')
Jarvis (48'), Mullan (65'), Gallagher (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-2 Carrick
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Coleraine

Last Six:
Last Game: Portadown 0-2 Coleraine
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawColeraine
30.24% (0.166 0.17)25.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (0.103 0.1)49.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (0.090999999999998 0.09)71.18% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (0.16800000000001 0.17)30.08% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.202 0.2)66.21% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.48% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 30.24%
    Coleraine 44.34%
    Draw 25.4%
Carrick RangersDrawColeraine
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 30.24%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.34%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Coleraine
3-0
Carrick
Brown (26'), O'Donnell (38' og.), Kane (54' pen.)
Kane (15')

(25'), Surgenor (33'), Skeet (53')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Carrick
0-0
Coleraine

Anderson (73')

Carson (71')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
0-3
Coleraine

Ervin (31')
McKendry (12'), Shevlin (48', 73')
Traynor (38')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Coleraine
1-0
Carrick
Canning (77')
Glackin (55'), Kane (90+2')

Smith (63')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Coleraine

Kelly (75'), Rodgers (78')
Allen (59', 76')
Kane (33'), Jarvis (86')