Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.