NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 2
Cliftonville

Henderson (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curran (18'), Turner (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Cliftonville.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCliftonville
37.18% (0.442 0.44)27.06% (0.211 0.21)35.75% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.876 -0.88)54.63% (0.874 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.732 -0.73)75.97% (0.72999999999999 0.73)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-0.161 -0.16)28.37% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-0.202 -0.2)64.11% (0.2 0.2)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.824 -0.82)29.22% (0.821 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-1.026 -1.03)65.18% (1.022 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 37.17%
    Cliftonville 35.75%
    Draw 27.05%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.278 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.75%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-2
Cliftonville
Millar (88'), McElroy (90+2' pen.)
McDonagh (18', 81')
McNicholas (72'), O'Neill (75')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
1-0
Cliftonville
Kane (31')
Waide (42'), Wilson (74'), (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
1-1
Cliftonville
McCartan (85')
McElroy (32'), McCartan (51'), Glendinning (75')
Curran (76' pen.)
Bagnall (81')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Cliftonville
2-1
Ballymena
Curran (30'), O'Neill (82')
Breen (45')
McCartan (42')
rhs 2.0


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