Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.