NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
5 - 1
Dungannon

Heatley (7', 68'), Barr (37' og.), Kennedy (48', 65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Campbell (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

Last Six:
    Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
    Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

    Dungannon Swifts

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
      Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.78%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

      Result
      CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
      53.99% (1.727 1.73)23.23% (-0.452 -0.45)22.78% (-1.274 -1.27)
      Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      54.66% (0.65799999999999 0.66)45.34% (-0.656 -0.66)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      32.32% (0.623 0.62)67.68% (-0.623 -0.62)
      Crusaders Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      83.28% (0.87 0.87)16.72% (-0.869 -0.87)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      53.38% (1.536 1.54)46.62% (-1.534 -1.53)
      Dungannon Swifts Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      66.01% (-0.762 -0.76)33.98% (0.764 0.76)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      29.34% (-0.833 -0.83)70.66% (0.834 0.83)
      Score Analysis
          Crusaders 53.99%
          Dungannon Swifts 22.78%
          Draw 23.22%
      CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
      1-0 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-1 @ 9.81% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
      2-0 @ 9.09% (0.264 0.26)
      3-1 @ 5.85% (0.214 0.21)
      3-0 @ 5.42% (0.307 0.31)
      3-2 @ 3.16% (0.052 0.05)
      4-1 @ 2.62% (0.167 0.17)
      4-0 @ 2.42% (0.202 0.2)
      4-2 @ 1.41% (0.062 0.06)
      5-1 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
      Other @ 3.12%
      Total : 53.99%
      		1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
      0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
      2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.065 -0.06)
      3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      Other @ 0.15%
      Total : 23.22%
      		0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.306 -0.31)
      1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.247 -0.25)
      0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.239 -0.24)
      1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
      2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
      0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
      Other @ 2.2%
      Total : 22.78%

      Head to Head
      Mar 26, 2022 3pm
      Dungannon
      2-4
      Crusaders
      Campbell (4'), Gallagher (90+3')
      Breen (10'), Knowles (36'), (88')
      Lecky (11'), Heatley (25', 80'), Doyle (86')
      Thompson (55')
      Dec 11, 2021 3pm
      Crusaders
      4-0
      Dungannon
      Robinson (24'), Clarke (25'), Kennedy (45+1', 61')
      Joe Burns (42'), Weir (80')

      McGinty (42'), Quinn (80'), Glynn (80')
      Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
      Dungannon
      0-2
      Crusaders

      Cowan (35'), Knowles (37'), McGee (41'), Mayse (84'), Smyth (88')
      Lecky (18'), Caddell (43')
      Heatley (23')
      Apr 24, 2021 3pm
      Dungannon
      0-2
      Crusaders
      Heatley (16'), Forsythe (54')
      Clarke (33'), Thompson (63')
      Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
      Dungannon
      2-1
      Crusaders
      Byers (43'), Patterson (61')
      Patterson (61')
      McGonigle (77')
      Joe Burns (55')