NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Paul Heatley 7' goal
  • Brendan Barr 37' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 48' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 65' goal
  • Paul Heatley 68' goal
  • goal Rhyss Campbell 45'+2'

Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders 1 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Dungannon 1 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
James Knowles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 53.99% (+1.73)
Draw 23.23% (-0.46)
Dungannon Swifts 22.78% (-1.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.98% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.66% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 45.34% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 32.32% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 67.68% (-0.63)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 83.28% (+0.88)
Under 0.5 16.72% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 53.38% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 46.62% (-1.54)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 66.01% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 33.98% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 29.34% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 70.66% (+0.84)

Score analysis

Crusaders 53.99%
Draw 23.22%
Dungannon Swifts 22.78%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.09% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 5.42% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.62% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 2.42% (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 53.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.22%
Dungannon Swifts
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.31)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.78%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Rhyss Campbell 4' goal
  • Garry Breen 10' yellowcard
  • James Knowles 36' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Ben Gallagher 90'+3' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 11'
  • goal Paul Heatley 25'
  • yellowcard Joel Thompson 55'
  • goal Paul Heatley 80'
  • goal Brandon Doyle 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Josh Robinson 24' goal
  • Ross Clarke 25' goal
  • Billy Joe Burns 42' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 45'+1' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 61' goal
  • Robbie Weir 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane McGinty 42'
  • yellowcard Michael Quinn 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Glynn 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Keith Cowan 35' yellowcard
  • James Knowles 37' yellowcard
  • Ethan McGee 41' yellowcard
  • Ryan Mayse 84' yellowcard
  • Oisin Smyth 88' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 18'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 23'
  • goal Declan Caddell 43'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Paul Heatley 16'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 33'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 54'
  • yellowcard Gary Thompson 63'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Byers 43' goal
  • Rory Patterson 61' goal
  • Rory Patterson 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 55'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie McGonigle 17' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 47' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 59' goal
  • Rodney Brown 73' yellowcard
  • goal Dougie Wilson 27'
  • yellowcard Shane McGinty 79'