Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Basel
33.32% ( 0.03)	27.24%	39.44% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.82% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

0.01)

55.6% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

0.01)

76.76% (

-0.01)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

0.03)

31.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

0.03)

67.62% (

-0.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

-0.01)

27.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0.01)

63.03% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 33.32%

Basel 39.44%

Draw 27.23%

Crusaders	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.44%