Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Servette had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.