Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Luzern

Basel
3 - 0
Luzern

Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Luzern

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-3 Luzern
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.36%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 19.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.57%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (5.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
61.36%19.18%19.47%
Both teams to score 64.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.26%30.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.92%52.08%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2%9.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45%32.55%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37%28.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56%64.44%
Score Analysis
    Basel 61.36%
    Luzern 19.47%
    Draw 19.18%
BaselDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 7.33%
1-0 @ 6.52%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-2 @ 4.59%
4-1 @ 4.26%
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-2 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-2 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 61.36%
1-1 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 5.1%
0-1 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 19.47%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')
Oct 3, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Stocker (68')
Frei (64'), Comert (90')
Wehrmann (78')
Sorgic (34'), Schulz (66')
Apr 10, 2021 7.30pm
Luzern
3-4
Basel
Schaub (3', 83' pen.), N'Diaye (64')
Emini (22'), Borkai (90+2')
Males (14'), Zhegrova (18', 22'), Arthur (90+3')
Arthur (61'), Zuffi (68'), Frei (84'), Widmer (84')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Basel
4-1
Luzern
Petretta (33'), Frei (74'), Zhegrova (88'), Durrer (90+5')
Hunziker (72')
Schaub (55')
Schaub (38'), N'Diaye (83')