/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fluglog.png)
-
Darian Males
6'
-
Dan Ndoye
30'
-
Strahinja Pavlovic
34'
-
Pajtim Kasami
71'
-
Pajtim Kasami
72'
-
Pajtim Kasami
74'
-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
27'
-
Kevin Ruegg
59'
-
Hadj Mahmoud
62'
-
Hadj Mahmoud
90'+2'
Basel vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basel in this match.
Result
Basel
61.59%
▼
(-2.69)
Draw
19.48%
▲
(+1.06)
Lugano
18.94%
▲
(+1.64)
Both Teams to Score:
62.18%
▼
(-0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.89%
▼
(-2.35)
Under 2.5
33.12%
▲
(+2.35)
Over 3.5
45.14%
▼
(-2.75)
Under 3.5
54.86%
▲
(+2.75)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
89.57%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 0.5
10.43%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 1.5
65.98%
▼
(-3.05)
Under 1.5
34.02%
▲
(+3.05)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5
69.42%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
30.58%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
33.19%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
66.81%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Basel
61.59%
Draw
19.48%
Lugano
18.94%
Basel
2-1
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.49)
3-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.43)
4-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.38)
4-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.32)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.28)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 61.59%
2-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.49)
3-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.43)
4-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.38)
4-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.32)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.28)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 61.59%
Draw
1-1
@
8.54%
▲
(+0.63)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.39)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.48%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.39)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.48%
Lugano
1-2
@
5.06%
▲
(+0.40)
0-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.48)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.48)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 18.94%