Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Lausanne Sport	Draw	Lugano
28.8%	23.25%	47.94%

Both teams to score 60.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.42%

62.58%

Lausanne Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43%

26.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21%

61.78%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97%

17.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.82%

47.17%

Score Analysis

Lausanne Sport 28.8%

Lugano 47.94%

Draw 23.25%

Lausanne Sport	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.8%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.12% Total : 47.94%