Mar 6, 2022 1.15pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Kreshnik Hajrizi 12'
Sandi Lovric 16'
Fabio Daprela 72'

Fedor Chalov 9'
Valentin Stocker 33'
Sergio Lopez 40'
Fedor Chalov 53'
Taulant Xhaka 76'
Darian Males 90'+3'

Lugano vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
L

Swiss Super League

W
W
L
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 3, 2022 7.30pm

Grasshopper 1 - 2 Lugano

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Zan Celar

Basel

All competitions

D
L
W
L
D
W

Swiss Super League

D
L
W
L
D
W

Last game

Mar 3, 2022 7.30pm

Basel 2 - 2 St Gallen

Goals scored

68

Top scorer

Arthur

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result

Lugano 33.52%

Draw 23.84%

Basel 42.63%

Both Teams to Score:

61.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.23%

Under 2.5 40.77%

Over 3.5 36.84%

Under 3.5 63.15%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 76.07%

Under 0.5 23.93%

Over 1.5 41.85%

Under 1.5 58.14%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 80.59%

Under 0.5 19.4%

Over 1.5 48.78%

Under 1.5 51.22%

Score analysis

Lugano 33.52%

Draw 23.84%

Basel 42.63%

Lugano

2-1 @ 7.79%

1-0 @ 6.64%

2-0 @ 4.75%

3-1 @ 3.71%

3-2 @ 3.04%

3-0 @ 2.26%

4-1 @ 1.33%

4-2 @ 1.09%

Other @ 2.92%

Total : 33.52%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.88%

2-2 @ 6.38%

0-0 @ 4.64%

3-3 @ 1.66%

Other @ 0.27%

Total : 23.84%

Basel

1-2 @ 8.93%

0-1 @ 7.61%

0-2 @ 6.24%

1-3 @ 4.88%

2-3 @ 3.49%

0-3 @ 3.41%

1-4 @ 2%

2-4 @ 1.43%

0-4 @ 1.4%

Other @ 3.24%

Total : 42.63%

Head to Head

Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Fabian Frei 10'
Arthur 32'
Fabian Frei 64'

Sep 12, 2021 3.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Mattia Bottani 7'
Mijat Maric 41'
Olivier Custodio 57'
Asumah Abubakar 59'
Fabio Daprela 86'

Arthur 29'
Pajtim Kasami 61'

May 11, 2021 7.30pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Pajtim Kasami 19'
Valentin Stocker 24'
Eray Comert 36'
Amir Abrashi 70'
Timm Klose 73'

Mar 20, 2021 7.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jonathan Sabbatini 3'
Sandi Lovric 15'
Sandi Lovric 60'
Numa Lavanchy 71'
Mattia Bottani 76'

Silvan Widmer 2'
Arthur 22'

Jan 31, 2021 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Eray Comert 71'
Arthur 84'
Jasper van der Werff 89'

Asumah Abubakar 36'
Jonathan Sabbatini 73'
Christopher Lungoyi 87'
Noam Baumann 90'+3'

Nov 29, 2020 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Alexander Gerndt 34'
Roman Macek 39'
Adria Guerrero 82'
Mattia Bottani 90'+2'

Albian Hajdari 25'

Form Data

Grasshopper 1 - 2 Lugano

Lugano 2 - 0 Servette

Lugano 0 - 2 St Gallen

FC Zurich 3 - 0 Lugano

Lugano 2 - 1 Luzern

Young Boys 1 - 0 Lugano

Basel 2 - 2 St Gallen

FC Zurich 4 - 2 Basel

Basel 3 - 0 Lausanne

Young Boys 3 - 1 Basel

Basel 3 - 3 Sion

Luzern 0 - 3 Basel