Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2022 at 1.15pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
Basel

Lugano
0 - 2
Basel


Hajrizi (12'), Lovric (16'), Daprela (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chalov (9'), Males (90+3')
Stocker (33'), Lopez (40'), Chalov (53'), Xhaka (76')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

Last Six:
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 FC Zurich
Thursday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Next Game: Basel vs. Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Servette 0-0 Basel
Thursday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Next Game: Basel vs. Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
33.52%23.84%42.63%
Both teams to score 61.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84%63.15%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85%58.14%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59%19.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78%51.22%
Score Analysis
    Lugano 33.52%
    Basel 42.63%
    Draw 23.84%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.75%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 42.63%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
2-0
Lugano
Frei (10'), Arthur (32')
Frei (64')
Sep 12, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
1-1
Basel
Abubakar (59')
Bottani (7'), Maric (41'), Custodio (57'), Daprela (86')
Arthur (29')
Kasami (61')
May 11, 2021 7.30pm
Basel
2-0
Lugano
Kasami (19'), Stocker (24')
Comert (36'), Abrashi (70'), Klose (73')
Mar 20, 2021 7.30pm
Lugano
2-1
Basel
Lovric (60'), Bottani (76')
Sabbatini (3'), Lovric (15'), Lavanchy (71')
Arthur (22')
Widmer (2')
Jan 31, 2021 3pm
Basel
2-2
Lugano
Arthur (84'), Van der Werff (89')
Comert (71')
Abubakar (36'), Lungoyi (87')
Sabbatini (73'), Baumann (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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