Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sion had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.