Conference League
Jul 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Lee Coombes 30' yellowcard
  • Dan Bent 44' goal
  • Jamie Coombes 45' yellowcard
  • Pibe Pereira 49' goal
  • Kyle Casciaro 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Galan 81' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Morgan 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 36'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 45'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 63'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 90'+2'

Magpies vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Magpies

Crusaders

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Magpies 29.48% (+0.08)
Draw 23.88% (+0.05)
Crusaders 46.64% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.29% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 42.71% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 34.88% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 65.11% (+0.17)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.37% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.16% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.84% (+0.05)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 81.49% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 18.51% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 50.27% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 49.73% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Magpies 29.48%
Draw 23.88%
Crusaders 46.64%
Magpies
2-1 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.25% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.88%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.55% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 46.64%