MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 19:16:21| >> :120:16139:16139:
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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Magpies
2 - 1
Crusaders

Bent (44'), Pereira (49')
Coombes (30'), Coombes (45'), Casciaro (66'), Galan (81'), Morgan (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forsythe (63')
Joe Burns (36'), O'Rourke (45'), Clarke (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magpies

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Crusaders

Last Six:
    Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
    Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

    Result
    MagpiesDrawCrusaders
    29.48% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 23.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 46.64% (-0.12 -0.12)
    Both teams to score 59.18% (-0.107 -0.11)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.29% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)42.71% (0.17 0.17)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    34.88% (-0.166 -0.17)65.11% (0.169 0.17)
    Magpies Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    72.63% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.37% (0.032 0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    37.16% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)62.84% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
    Crusaders Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.49% (-0.113 -0.11)18.51% (0.117 0.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.27% (-0.194 -0.19)49.73% (0.199 0.2)
    Score Analysis
        Magpies 29.48%
        Crusaders 46.64%
        Draw 23.88%
    MagpiesDrawCrusaders
    2-1 @ 7.17% (0.014 0.01)
    1-0 @ 6.56% (0.043 0.04)
    2-0 @ 4.25% (0.025 0.03)
    3-1 @ 3.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
    3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1%
    Other @ 2.94%
    Total : 29.48%
    		1-1 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
    2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 5.07% (0.038 0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 23.88%
    		1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
    0-1 @ 8.55% (0.032 0.03)
    0-2 @ 7.21%
    1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
    0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
    0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
    2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.48%
    Total : 46.64%

    How you voted: Magpies vs Crusaders

    Magpies
    37.5%
    Draw
    25.0%
    Crusaders
    37.5%
    8
    rhs 2.0
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