Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Magpies	Draw	Crusaders
29.48% ( 0.08)	23.88% ( 0.05)	46.64% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.29% (

-0.17)

42.71% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.17)

65.11% (

0.17)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0.03)

27.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

-0.04)

62.84% (

0.04)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.11)

18.51% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

-0.19)

49.73% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Magpies 29.48%

Crusaders 46.64%

Draw 23.88%

Magpies	Draw	Crusaders
2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.48%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.64%