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UEFA Conference League

Basel
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 0
Crusaders

Ndoye (38'), Szalai (48')
Xhaka (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heatley (22'), Larmour (32')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 Basel
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Crusaders

Last Six:
    Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Magpies
    Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 17.17%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

    Result
    BaselDrawCrusaders
    57.33%25.49%17.17%
    Both teams to score 40.31%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    39.52%60.47%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    19.4%80.6%
    Basel Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.79%21.21%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    45.9%54.1%
    Crusaders Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    51.16%48.84%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    16.16%83.84%
    Score Analysis
        Basel 57.32%
        Crusaders 17.17%
        Draw 25.48%
    BaselDrawCrusaders
    1-0 @ 16.06%
    2-0 @ 12.45%
    2-1 @ 8.93%
    3-0 @ 6.44%
    3-1 @ 4.61%
    4-0 @ 2.5%
    4-1 @ 1.79%
    3-2 @ 1.65%
    Other @ 2.9%
    Total : 57.32%
    		1-1 @ 11.51%
    0-0 @ 10.35%
    2-2 @ 3.2%
    Other @ 0.42%
    Total : 25.48%
    		0-1 @ 7.42%
    1-2 @ 4.13%
    0-2 @ 2.66%
    1-3 @ 0.99%
    Other @ 1.98%
    Total : 17.17%

    How you voted: Basel vs Crusaders

    Basel
    85.7%
    Draw
    14.3%
    Crusaders
    0.0%
    7