Conference League
Jul 14, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Paul Heatley 33' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 77' yellowcard
  • Jude Winchester 80' goal
  • Billy Joe Burns 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Dan Bent 34'
  • goal Kyle Casciaro 37'
  • yellowcard Francisco Zuniga 48'
  • yellowcard Ruben Diaz 68'
  • yellowcard Olmo Gonzalez 90'

Crusaders vs Magpies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2022 5.00pm
Magpies 2 - 1 Crusaders

Magpies

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2022 5.00pm
Magpies 2 - 1 Crusaders

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Magpies win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 41.97% (-0.01)
Draw 24.45%
Magpies 33.58% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.37% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.63% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.02% (-0.02)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 79.1% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.61% (-0.01)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5 74.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.25% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Crusaders 41.97%
Draw 24.44%
Magpies 33.58%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
Magpies
1-2 @ 7.82% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.58%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Lee Coombes 30' yellowcard
  • Dan Bent 44' goal
  • Jamie Coombes 45' yellowcard
  • Pibe Pereira 49' goal
  • Kyle Casciaro 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Galan 81' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Morgan 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 36'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 45'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 63'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 90'+2'