Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
3 - 0
Ballymena

O'Neill (42', 79'), Watson (90')
O'Neill (15'), Randall (45'), (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (48')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

Last Six:
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Larne
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

Last Six:
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawBallymena United
52.49% (-0.295 -0.3)24.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)22.9% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.318 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (0.248 0.25)51% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (0.218 0.22)72.86% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)19.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)51.21% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.41 0.41)37.02% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.404 0.4)73.8% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Larne 52.48%
    Ballymena United 22.9%
    Draw 24.61%
LarneDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 52.48%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.9%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
1-3
Ballymena
Doherty (18')
Watson (57'), Doherty (64')
Parkhouse (4', 69'), Millar (58' pen.)
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-1
Larne
Keeley (58'), McElroy (75')
Winchester (26'), Barr (54'), Millar (89')
McDaid (51')
Hale (52'), Sule (56'), Randall (86'), Lynch (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-3
Larne

Loughran (30'), Winchester (38'), Keeley (53')
Randall (2', 36'), Nasseri (64')
Herron (39'), Balmer (42')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Ballymena
1-1
Larne
Watson (35' og.)
Keeley (72')
Hale (68')
Mitchell (90+3')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Larne
0-1
Ballymena

Robinson (72')
Balmer (80')
rhs 2.0


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