MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 13:11:27| >> :600:493549:493549:
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UEFA Conference League
Larne
Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 0
St Joseph's


Valarino (40'), Ferrer (45+3'), Villar (90+3'), Pecci (90+4')
FT

Bonis (51'), Balmer (59'), Bolger (90+3')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Larne and St Joseph's.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

Last Six:
    Last Game: Glentoran 2-4 Larne
    Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

    St Joseph's

    Last Six:
      Last Game: St Joseph's 1-1 Levadia
      Thursday, July 15 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

      Result
      LarneDrawSt Joseph's
      48.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 23.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 27.58% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
      Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      56.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)43.69% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      33.92% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)66.08% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
      Larne Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)18.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      50.94% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)49.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
      St Joseph's Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      70.8% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)29.2% (0.081 0.08)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      34.85% (-0.1 -0.1)65.15% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Larne 48.59%
          St Joseph's 27.58%
          Draw 23.82%
      LarneDrawSt Joseph's
      2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
      1-0 @ 9.04% (0.028 0.03)
      2-0 @ 7.72% (0.02 0.02)
      3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      3-0 @ 4.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
      3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
      4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
      Other @ 3.58%
      Total : 48.59%
      		1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 5.29% (0.019 0.02)
      3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
      Other @ 0.2%
      Total : 23.82%
      		1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-1 @ 6.51% (0.008 0.01)
      0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
      1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
      0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
      Other @ 3.37%
      Total : 27.58%

      How you voted: Larne vs St Joseph's

      Larne
      87.5%
      Draw
      12.5%
      St Joseph's
      0.0%
      8
      rhs 2.0
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