NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Larne

Glenavon
1 - 2
Larne

Glynn (40')
Campbell (30'), (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Neill (33'), Doherty (90+7' pen.)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

Last Six:
Last Game: Ballymena 2-2 Glenavon
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

Last Six:
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Glentoran
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLarne
27.2% (0.15 0.15)26.66% (0.092000000000002 0.09)46.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.253 -0.25)55.63% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.208 -0.21)76.79% (0.208 0.21)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (-0.012 -0.01)35.79% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)72.57% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)24.07% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.321 -0.32)58.36% (0.321 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 27.2%
    Larne 46.14%
    Draw 26.65%
GlenavonDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.14%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
Bonis (3')
Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-2
Glenavon
Doherty (2'), Hughes (15'), McDaid (35')
Randall (47')
Campbell (21'), Wallace (65')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Glenavon
0-1
Larne

Birney (41'), O'Connor (48')
Mitchell (79')
Cosgrove (33'), Randall (90+3')
Jun 1, 2021 7.30pm
Larne
2-1
Glenavon
McDaid (8'), Donnelly (90+3')
Robinson (45'), Hale (52'), Randall (88')
Purkis (5')
Campbell (57'), Purkis (66'), Snoddy (72'), Garrett (90+5')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
2-2
Larne
Fitzpatrick (23'), Byrne (73' pen.)
Donnelly (19'), McDaid (40')
Randall (46'), McKendry (86')