NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 1
Portadown

Lowry (64'), McMurray (86')
McMurray (88'), (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jenkins (32' pen.)
De Dieu Tantale (58'), Jenkins (70'), (90+4')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

Last Six:

Last Game: Portadown 0-2 Coleraine
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Newry City AFC	2	-3	0
11	Dungannon Swifts	2	-6	0
12	Portadown	2	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Portadown
75.53% ( 0.01)	15.54% ( -0.04)	8.93% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54% (

0.33)

38.46% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.25% (

0.35)

60.75% (

-0.35)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.43% (

0.08)

8.57% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.37% (

0.2)

29.62% (

-0.2)

Portadown Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.36% (

0.3)

48.63% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.31% (

0.22)

83.69% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 75.52%

Portadown 8.93%

Draw 15.54%

Crusaders	Draw	Portadown
2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 75.52%	1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.54%	0-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 8.93%