Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.