NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
3 - 1
Crusaders

Donnelly (8'), McMenamin (52' pen.), Wilson (78')
Crowe (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (5')
Forsythe (43'), Robinson (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

Last Six:
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Glentoran
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

Last Six:
Last Game: Crusaders 5-1 Dungannon
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
47.68% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15%42.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75%65.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.14% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)28.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)63.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 47.68%
    Crusaders 28.54%
    Draw 23.78%
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.54%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Glentoran
0-4
Crusaders

(63'), (82')
Caddell (9'), Lowry (22'), Larmour (57'), Heatley (86')
(48')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Glentoran
Robinson (12')
Lowry (18'), Tuffey (52'), Clarke (68')
Winchester (55')
McMenamin (48'), McDaid (65')
Murray (15'), Marron (63')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
0-1
Glentoran

Caddell (3'), Lecky (12'), Heatley (43'), McMurray (77')
Plum (78')
McMenamin (5'), Crowe (37')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Glentoran
0-3
Crusaders

McCarey (58'), Donnelly (84')
Lecky (9'), Kennedy (55' pen.), Wilson (66')
May 29, 2021 5.30pm
Glentoran
2-0
Crusaders
Cushnie (64'), Mitchell (77')
Kane (52')

L (20'), J (86')