NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Hughes 21' goal
  • 27' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 40'
  • yellowcard 53'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • goal Philip Lowry 64'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 67'

Newry City AFC vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
Newry City AFC 1 - 3 Linfield
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
James Teelan

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders 2 - 1 Portadown
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result

Newry City AFC 32.14% (-0.50)
Draw 24.85% (-0.10)
Crusaders 43.01% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.1% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 45.91% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.79% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.22% (-0.25)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5 72.78% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 27.22% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 37.36% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 62.65% (+0.24)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 78.63% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 21.38% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 45.64% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 54.36% (-0.60)

Score analysis

Newry City AFC 32.14%
Draw 24.85%
Crusaders 43.01%
Newry City AFC
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 9.01% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.93% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.64% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.56% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.37% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.01%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds (Newry)
  • goal David Cushley 6'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds (Newry)
  • goal Rory Patterson 49'
  • goal Paul Heatley 78'
  • goal Paul Heatley 95'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview (Belfast)
  • Paul Heatley 59' goal