Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.