NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Newry City AFC
1 - 2
Crusaders

Hughes (21')
(27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Crusaders
32.14% ( -0.49)	24.85% ( -0.1)	43.01% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1% (

0.26)

45.91% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79% (

0.25)

68.22% (

-0.25)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0.18)

27.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

-0.24)

62.65% (

0.24)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

0.39)

21.38% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.59)

54.36% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 32.14%

Crusaders 43.01%

Draw 24.85%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Crusaders
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.01%