NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Billy Joe Burns 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 57' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 39'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 57'
  • redcard Mark Randall 59'
  • goal Leroy Millar 80'
  • yellowcard Lee Bonis 90'+3'

Crusaders vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Newry City AFC 1 - 2 Crusaders
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Larne 3 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Larne had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Crusaders 38.61% (-0.46)
Draw 26.54% (+0.24)
Larne 34.85% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.41% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 52.59% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 25.75% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 74.25% (+0.80)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 73.42% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 26.58% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 38.2% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 61.8% (+0.91)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 71.21% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 28.79% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 35.36% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 64.64% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Crusaders 38.6%
Draw 26.54%
Larne 34.85%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 10.13% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 38.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.65% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.54%
Larne
0-1 @ 9.53% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.93% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Aidan Wilson 89' goal
  • goal David McDaid 59'
  • goal David McDaid 72'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 45' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Dean Jarvis 74' goal
  • yellowcard 59'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 68'
  • goal Adam Lecky 82'
  • yellowcard 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Herron 22' yellowcard
  • Fuad Sule 24' yellowcard
  • Lee Lynch 77' goal
  • Ronan Hale 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aidan Wilson 12'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 28'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 52'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan McMurray 13' yellowcard
  • Billy Joe Burns 13' yellowcard
  • Adam Lecky 16' goal
  • Josh Robinson 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Lecky 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Larmour 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Mitchell 13'
  • yellowcard Cian Bolger 61'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 66'
  • yellowcard David McDaid 73'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 88'
  • yellowcard Jeff Hughes 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
May 1, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ross Clarke 45' goal
  • Paul Heatley 55' yellowcard
  • Declan Caddell 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 19'
  • yellowcard Dean Jarvis 45'
  • goal Jonathan McMurray 62'
  • goal Ronan Hale 68'
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fuad Sule 30' redcard
  • goal Adam Lecky 54'
  • goal Adam Lecky 69'
  • goal Adam Lecky 77'