NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 1
Larne

Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Larne had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Larne
38.61% ( -0.46)	26.54% ( 0.23)	34.85% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 52.28% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-0.93)

52.59% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-0.8)

74.25% (

0.8)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.68)

26.58% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-0.91)

61.8% (

0.91)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.31)

28.79% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.39)

64.64% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 38.6%

Larne 34.85%

Draw 26.54%

Crusaders	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.6%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.85%