Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.