Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.