NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Leroy Millar 60'
  • goal Mark Randall 62'

Newry City AFC vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
Cliftonville 4 - 0 Newry City AFC
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
James Teelan

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Larne 2 - 0 Coleraine
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result

Newry City AFC 18.49% (+0.20)
Draw 23.73% (+0.26)
Larne 57.78% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.09% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.36% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 52.63% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 25.72% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 74.28% (+0.64)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5 57.42% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 42.57% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 21.07% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 78.93% (+0.18)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 81.99% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 18% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 51.13% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 48.87% (+0.76)

Score analysis

Newry City AFC 18.49%
Draw 23.72%
Larne 57.77%
Newry City AFC
1-0 @ 6.54% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 4.79% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.79% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.66% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.72%
Larne
0-1 @ 13.14% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 11.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.44% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.5% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 57.77%