NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
4 - 0
Newry City AFC

Hale (10', 22', 45'), Curran (16')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 2-3 Queen's Park
Sunday, September 25 at 1.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Newry City AFC
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawNewry City AFC
61.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (-0.163 -0.16)42.97% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62% (-0.16 -0.16)65.38% (0.16 0.16)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)13.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)40.58% (0.1 0.1)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (-0.133 -0.13)37.9% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33% (-0.129 -0.13)74.67% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 61.28%
    Newry City AFC 17.62%
    Draw 21.08%
CliftonvilleDrawNewry City AFC
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 61.28%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 17.62%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Nov 12, 2018 7.45pm
Cliftonville
3-1
Newry City AFC
Donnelly (26'), Gormley (30'), Curran (33')
Noonan (4')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm