Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 25, 2022 at 1.45pm UK
Solitude
Queen's Park

Cliftonville
2 - 3
Queen's Park

Coates (14'), Addis (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Savoury (3'), Williamson (27'), Thomas (71')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Cliftonville and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cliftonville

Last Six:
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Queen's Park

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawQueen's Park
55.4% (-1.287 -1.29)22.37% (0.491 0.49)22.23% (0.797 0.8)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-1.253 -1.25)42.16% (1.254 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-1.267 -1.27)64.56% (1.27 1.27)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-0.84100000000001 -0.84)15.11% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (-1.614 -1.61)43.66% (1.615 1.62)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.025999999999996 0.03)32.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03)69.27% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 55.4%
    Queen's Park 22.23%
    Draw 22.36%
CliftonvilleDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.246 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 55.4%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.272 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.162 0.16)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.308 0.31)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.23%