Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.