NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 5
Newry City AFC

Doyle (87')
Snoddy (46'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Wallace (52')

FT(HT: 0-3)

McGovern (2', 9'), Hughes (15'), Carville (83'), Teelan (89')
King (53'), (90')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Newry City AFC
32.63% ( 1.72)	25.66% ( -0.02)	41.72% ( -1.7)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.7% (

0.67)

49.3% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

0.6)

71.35% (

-0.6)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

1.47)

28.58% (

-1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

1.81)

64.38% (

-1.81)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0.53)

23.45% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-0.78)

57.46% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 32.63%

Newry City AFC 41.72%

Draw 25.65%

Glenavon	Draw	Newry City AFC
1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.72%