NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Showgrounds

Coleraine
1 - 3
Glenavon

Shevlin (41' pen.)
(79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Campbell (24'), Garrett (48'), Fitzpatrick (63')
Brown (39'), (53'), (70'), Haughey (90+1')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Coleraine	Draw	Glenavon
57.21% ( 0.18)	22.24% ( -0.09)	20.55% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 55.04% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

0.27)

43.73% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

0.26)

66.12% (

-0.26)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

0.15)

15.05% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

0.28)

43.56% (

-0.28)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

0.06)

35.2% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04% (

0.06)

71.95% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Coleraine 57.2%

Glenavon 20.55%

Draw 22.24%

Coleraine	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.24%	0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.55%