Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Shea Gordon 79'

Carrick Rangers vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

W
D
W
L
L
W

NIFL Premiership

W
D
W
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm

Ballymena 0 - 1 Carrick

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

David Cushley

Larne

All competitions

W
D
W
W
D
L

NIFL Premiership

W
D
W
W
D
W

Last game

Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm

Portadown 0 - 1 Larne

Goals scored

64

Top scorer

Lee Bonis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result

Carrick Rangers 18.82% ▼ (-2.46)

Draw 22.58% ▼ (-1.38)

Larne 58.6% ▲ (+3.85)

Both Teams to Score:

51.08% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.41% ▲ (+2.52)

Under 2.5 47.6% ▼ (-2.51)

Over 3.5 30.21% ▲ (+2.28)

Under 3.5 69.8% ▼ (-2.28)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% ▼ (-1.16)

Under 0.5 39.25% ▲ (+1.17)

Over 1.5 24.04% ▼ (-1.11)

Under 1.5 75.96% ▲ (+1.12)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 84.09% ▲ (+2.28)

Under 0.5 15.92% ▼ (-2.27)

Over 1.5 54.83% ▲ (+4.02)

Under 1.5 45.17% ▼ (-4.01)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 18.82%

Draw 22.57%

Larne 58.59%

Carrick Rangers

1-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.85)

2-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.48)

2-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.50)

3-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.21)

3-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 2.23%

Total : 18.82%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.67)

0-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.68)

2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 0.98%

Total : 22.57%

Larne

0-1 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.33)

0-2 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.50)

1-2 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.16)

0-3 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.75)

1-3 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.53)

0-4 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.54)

2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.17)

1-4 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.43)

2-4 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.17)

0-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-82.01)

1-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-79.18)

Other @ 2.21%

Total : 58.59%

Head to Head

Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Matty Carson 14'
Kyle Cherry 39'
Jim Ervin 84'

Cian Bolger 9'
33'
Lee Lynch 38'
Jeff Hughes 62'
84'
Andrew Scott 85'
88'

Dec 27, 2021 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT

David Cushley 32'
Jim Ervin 50'

Tomas Cosgrove 38'
45'
Ronan Hale 45'+2'
48'
74'
David McDaid 85'

Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Thomas Oluwya 38'
Andy Mitchell 65'

Mark Surgenor 65'

Apr 3, 2021 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 3 0

FT

Lee Lynch 14'
Andy Mitchell 35'
Lee Lynch 37'

Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT

Caolan Loughran 18'
Caolan Loughran 50'
Lee Chapman 65'

Andy Mitchell 11'
John Herron 34'
Conor McKendry 90'+2'

Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Michael Smith 43'
Daniel Kelly 70'
Caolan Loughran 74'
James Ferrin 81'
Caolan Loughran 84'

Andy Mitchell 42'
Ronan Hale 52'
Andrew Scott 78'
Jeff Hughes 80'
Mark Randall 82'
Mark Randall 90'+4'

Form Data

Ballymena 0 - 1 Carrick

Glenavon 2 - 2 Carrick

Carrick 2 - 1 Linfield

Carrick 2 - 4 Coleraine

Cliftonville 3 - 2 Carrick

Carrick 2 - 1 Newry City AFC

Portadown 0 - 1 Larne

Crusaders 1 - 1 Larne

Larne 3 - 0 Ballymena

Glenavon 1 - 2 Larne

Larne 0 - 0 Glentoran

Larne 0 - 1 St Joseph's