NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 2
Carrick

Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

Last Six:
Last Game: Glenavon 1-5 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Linfield
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
47.37% (-0.689 -0.69)25.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.53% (0.753 0.75)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.793 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.76000000000001 0.76)49.25% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.682 0.68)71.31% (-0.679 -0.68)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.82% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.988 0.99)32.13% (-0.988 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (1.107 1.11)68.61% (-1.105 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 47.36%
    Carrick Rangers 27.53%
    Draw 25.08%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.36%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.53%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (66'), Singleton (79')
McCloskey (21'), O'Connor (60'), Singleton (71')

Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-2
Glenavon
Tilney (33'), Gibson (79')
Gordon (64'), Kalla (85')
Snoddy (90+1'), Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Hall (24'), Singleton (29')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-4
Carrick
Kelly (20', 64'), Anderson (40'), McMullan (60')
May 25, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
3-6
Glenavon
Chapman (10', 80'), Gibson (49')
Forsythe (55'), Glendinning (58'), McMullan (65'), Gordon (77'), Ramsey (87')
Hall (56', 88', 90+2'), Campbell (57', 72'), Garrett (75')
Snoddy (58'), Campbell (58'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Singleton (69')
rhs 2.0


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