NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 10' goal
  • 11' yellowcard
  • Conor McCloskey 23' goal
  • 50' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 59' redcard
  • goal Andy Mitchell 18'
  • yellowcard Jim Ervin 55'
  • goal Curtis Allen 64'
  • yellowcard David Cushley 66'

Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Glenavon 1 - 5 Newry City AFC
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Matt Fitzpatrick

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
Carrick 2 - 1 Linfield
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
David Cushley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 47.37% (-0.69)
Draw 25.09% (-0.07)
Carrick Rangers 27.53% (+0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.74% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.75% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 49.25% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 28.69% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 71.31% (-0.68)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 79.18% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.82% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.49% (-0.02)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 67.86% (+0.99)
Under 0.5 32.13% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 31.38% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 68.61% (-1.11)

Score analysis

Glenavon 47.36%
Draw 25.08%
Carrick Rangers 27.53%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-98.75)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.53%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Mark Surgenor 31' yellowcard
  • David Cushley 41' yellowcard
  • Matty Carson 81' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 47'
  • goal Michael O'Connor 88'
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor McCloskey 21' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 60' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 66' goal
  • James Singleton 71' yellowcard
  • James Singleton 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jim Ervin 21'
  • yellowcard Jack Chambers 90'
  • yellowcard Ewan Kelly 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Tilney 33' goal
  • Steven Gordon 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 79' goal
  • Ronan Kalla 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Hall 24'
  • yellowcard James Singleton 29'
  • goal Matthew Snoddy 90'+1'
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Daniel Kelly 20'
  • goal Lloyd Anderson 40'
  • goal Corey McMullan 60'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 64'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
May 25, 2021 7.45pm
3
6
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Chapman 10' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 49' goal
  • Kurtis Forsythe 55' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 58' yellowcard
  • Corey McMullan 65' yellowcard
  • Steven Gordon 77' yellowcard
  • Lee Chapman 80' goal
  • Christopher Ramsey 87' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Hall 56'
  • goal Peter Campbell 57'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 58'
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 58'
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 60'
  • yellowcard James Singleton 69'
  • goal Peter Campbell 72'
  • goal Robert Garrett 75'
  • goal Andy Hall 88'
  • goal Andy Hall 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Colin Coates 48' goal
  • goal Daniel Kelly 9'
  • redcard Christopher Rodgers 30'