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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 1
Carrick


Parkhouse (49'), Place (68'), Graham (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cushley (52')
Ervin (12'), Cushley (16'), Gordon (53'), Mitchell (61'), Forsythe (71'), Anderson (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 2-2 Carrick
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
41.04% (1.703 1.7) 25.47% (-0.697 -0.7) 33.49% (-0.998 -1)
Both teams to score 55.58% (2.12 2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (2.83 2.83)48.24% (-2.822 -2.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (2.537 2.54)70.39% (-2.528 -2.53)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (2.154 2.15)23.32% (-2.146 -2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (3.035 3.04)57.28% (-3.028 -3.03)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.755 0.75)27.51% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.962 0.96)63.02% (-0.954 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 41.04%
    Carrick Rangers 33.49%
    Draw 25.46%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.504 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.267 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.379 0.38)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.296 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.224 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.781 -0.78)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.815 -0.82)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.404 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.172 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.49%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Carrick
Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick

Redman (36'), (71'), (80')
Redman (62')
Gibson (70')
Gibson (83'), Gawne (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Gawne (55'), Gibson (90+3')
Nixon (33')
Smith (32')
Loughran (25')
May 4, 2021 7.30pm
Carrick
0-4
Ballymena

Gordon (63')
Hume (45'), McCartan (64' pen., 89'), McCready (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield19132438162241
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2010372723433
3CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
4PortadownPortadown199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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