Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.