NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Portadown

McDaid (8', 84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 0-0 Ballymena
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Glenavon
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
54.35% (-1.408 -1.41)23.72% (0.556 0.56)21.93% (0.847 0.85)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.584 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-1.359 -1.36)48.37% (1.353 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-1.254 -1.25)70.51% (1.25 1.25)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-1.003 -1)17.69% (0.997 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (-1.761 -1.76)48.33% (1.754 1.75)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.061 0.06)36.47% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (0.062000000000001 0.06)73.26% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 54.34%
    Portadown 21.93%
    Draw 23.71%
Ballymena UnitedDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.34%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.367 0.37)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 21.93%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
2-1
Portadown
McElroy (48'), McCullough (81')
McCullough (19'), (29'), Henderson (42')
Stedman (37')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Portadown
1-0
Ballymena
Salley (35')
Tipton (53')

Place (38')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
4-0
Portadown
Winchester (22'), Parkhouse (30', 78'), Redman (56')

Jordan (85')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Portadown
0-1
Ballymena

Kerr (48'), McKeown (57'), (76')
Conaty (33'), Kerr (76')
McGrory (77')
McKeown (15'), Winchester (90+3'), (90+3')
May 29, 2021 5.30pm
Ballymena
4-2
Portadown
McCartan (14'), Hume (39'), Keeley (67'), Harpur (70')
Croskery (1'), Warde (20')
Lavery (43')