NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 44' goal
  • Adam Lecky 64' goal
  • Adam Lecky 69' goal
  • goal Peter Campbell 38'
  • goal Conor Scannell 50'

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Cliftonville 0 - 0 Crusaders
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Philip Lowry

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Glenavon 5 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Matt Fitzpatrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 49.48% (-0.20)
Draw 24.24% (-0.02)
Glenavon 26.27% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.45% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.49% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 46.51% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.21% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.78% (-0.25)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 81.15% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 18.85% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.3% (-0.04)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 68.33% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 31.67% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 31.91% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 68.08% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Crusaders 49.48%
Draw 24.24%
Glenavon 26.27%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.24%
Glenavon
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.52% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Forsythe 45' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 45'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Josh Robinson 63' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 85' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Campbell 9'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robert Garrett 58'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Singleton 38' yellowcard
  • Matthew Snoddy 48' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 50' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 22'
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 33'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 67'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 69'
  • redcard Robbie Weir 70'
  • yellowcard Declan Caddell 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Philip Lowry 18' goal
  • Paul Heatley 25' goal
  • Ross Clarke 47' goal
  • Paul Heatley 68' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 75' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 79' goal
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 8'
  • yellowcard Andrew Doyle 59'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aidan Wilson 46' redcard
  • goal Conor McCloskey 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack O'Mahony 50' goal
  • James Singleton 68' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 74' goal
  • Peter Campbell 78' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 80' goal
  • goal Philip Lowry 3'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruddy 16'
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 83'