NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
4 - 3
Crusaders

Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Larne
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Ballymena
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Crusaders
21.23% ( -0.51)	23.17% ( 0.12)	55.6% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-1.15)

46.87% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-1.08)

69.12% (

1.08)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-1.15)

36.3% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-1.18)

73.09% (

1.17)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-0.28)

16.69% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

-0.5)

46.58% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 21.23%

Crusaders 55.6%

Draw 23.16%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.23%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.6%