Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 84.49%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 4.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.