Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.