NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 1
Ballymena

O'Connor (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McDaid (36')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
25.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)24.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (0.038 0.04)70.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.054000000000002 0.05)51.64% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 25.82%
    Ballymena United 49.53%
    Draw 24.65%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.82%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.53%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena
Kelly (51'), Keeley (88')
Tweed (14')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Dungannon
1-2
Ballymena
McMullan (50' og.)
Campbell (45')
McElroy (87'), McGrory (90+2' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
1-0
Dungannon
McCullough (88')
Graham (54')

McGinty (43'), McGee (45+1'), Mayse (59'), McKendry (76')
Mayse (73')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena

McGinty (24'), Mayse (56'), Smyth (73')
Kane (22'), McElroy (90+6')
McGrory (15'), Wilson (64')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
4-3
Dungannon
Rodgers (49'), Loughran (61'), Millar (66'), Smith (75')
Loughran (26'), Strain (86')
McGee (28'), McCready (40'), Campbell (56')
Smyth (65'), Glynn (86'), McGee (86')