Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.