Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.