Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crusaders in this match.