Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Larne
33.77% ( 0.03)	27.84% ( -0.02)	38.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.21% (

0.1)

57.79% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48% (

0.08)

78.52% (

-0.08)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

0.07)

32.08% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

0.08)

68.55% (

-0.08)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.05)

29.17% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

0.05)

65.11% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Linfield 33.77%

Larne 38.39%

Draw 27.83%

Linfield	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.39%