NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 2
Glenavon

Millar (17'), Cooper (75'), Vertainen (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fitzpatrick (41', 67')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-3 Glentoran
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Glenavon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawGlenavon
54.26% (0.811 0.81)23.46% (-0.324 -0.32)22.28% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 53.55% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (0.852 0.85)46.92% (-0.854 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (0.791 0.79)69.17% (-0.79299999999999 -0.79)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (0.614 0.61)17.19% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53% (1.068 1.07)47.47% (-1.068 -1.07)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.33% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 54.25%
    Glenavon 22.28%
    Draw 23.46%
LinfieldDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Linfield
2-0
Glenavon
Manzinga (64'), McKee (89')
McClean (66')

O'Connor (56'), O'Mahony (88')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
Glenavon
0-3
Linfield
Manzinga (11', 29'), Salam (39')
Salam (64')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
0-0
Linfield

Doyle (4'), McCloskey (42'), Hamilton (79')
Doyle (50')

Palmer (34')
Manzinga (50')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Glenavon
3-2
Linfield
Coates (9'), Fitzpatrick (29'), Purkis (61')
Campbell (51'), Snoddy (66'), Doyle (90+3')
Lavery (13'), Manzinga (72')
Lavery (90+3')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Glenavon
1-2
Linfield
Purkis (23')
Quinn (48'), Stewart (79')
Stewart (79')