Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.