MX23RW : Friday, December 13 23:55:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
4 - 1
Carrick

Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1'), Donnelly (64'), Rocks (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (41')
(82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
44.92% (0.378 0.38) 24.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 30.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)47.17% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.41% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.19799999999999 0.2)21.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.305 0.31)53.84% (-0.304 -0.3)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)29.18% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.233 -0.23)65.12% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 44.92%
    Carrick Rangers 30.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18122435161938
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1894527171031
3GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon199372623330
5PortadownPortadown188462519628
6CrusadersCrusaders188372323027
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena189092222027
8ColeraineColeraine197573227526
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1853102030-1018
11GlenavonGlenavon193791428-1416
12Loughgall1933132048-2812


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